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Fact Sheet 2008
H1B
& IT Workers
Demand—Labor Market Conditions
FACT:
The U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) estimates
that over the next eight years computer and
mathematical science occupations will add
967,000 jobs and grow the fastest out of the
eight main professional subgroups.[1]
However, expert studies have shown that
globalization has caused a leveling off of
IT job growth and this trend could continue
across fields, making job growth in computer
and mathematical science occupations
difficult to predict.[2]
FACT:
According to the GAO, the Department of
Homeland Security follows the H-1B cap,
which is currently set at 65,000 but has
been as high as 125,000 in the recent past.
However, a previously approved exemption for
educational institutions, non-profits and
other entities allows another 27,500 foreign
workers on average to come in to the U.S.
In 2004, another exemption created still
another cap loophole by adding an additional
20,000 annual allotment for U.S.-educated
foreign workers with advanced degrees.
Furthermore, since the “temporary” H-1B visa
is good for up to six years, according to
government data some 125,000 existing visa
holders renew annually. As a result, under
current law over 230,000 foreign
professionals get new or renewed guest
worker visas.[3]
FACT:
DOL estimates that job openings in all the
professional specialty occupations in the
near future will average only 604,600 per
year. Yet they reviewed and certified more
than 960,000 H-1B applications between 2002
and 2005, nearly one-third of which were for
computer and programming related industries.[4]
FACT:
DOL expects
that job growth in the computer industry
will decline as the software industry
matures and moves overseas.[5]
FACT:
Between 2000 and
2005, the median weekly earnings for
computer systems analysts and scientists
increased from $881 to $1,091 (in current
dollars).[6]
After adjusting for inflation, this
represents an annual average increase of
1.8%.
FACT:
For computer
operations and systems researchers and analysts
— an occupational category that was 50.5% female
in 2005, the median wages increased from $929
weekly to $1,252, from 2000–2005.[7]
After adjusting for inflation, this is an annual
average increase of 3.8%. While the current
numbers increased overall during this period,
the rate was unstable and fluctuated
considerably.
FACT:
For computer
programmers, the average weekly wage increased
from $944 in 2000 to $1,086 in 2005, which after
adjusting for inflation amounts to a 1.4%
change.[8]
FACT:
In a candid moment,
Roger Cooker, director of staffing at Texas
Instruments Company — one of the nation’s
largest high tech firms — told U.S. News and
World Report (August 30, 1999) that
H-1B workers are part of their strategy to keep
down the wages of engineers and other high tech
workers.[9]
FACT:
In a
Congressionally-mandated study released soon
after Congress passed S.2045, the National
Research Council — the principal operating arm
of the National Academy of Sciences and the
National Academy of Engineering — found that, “the
current size of the H-1B workforce relative to
the overall number of IT professionals is large
enough to keep wages from rising as fast as
might be expected in a tight labor market.”
Further, it also found, “no analytical basis on
which to set the proper level of H-1B visas, and
that decisions to reduce or increase the cap on
such visas are fundamentally political.”[10]
Supply—The Educational Pipeline
FACT:
According to
information available from the U.S. Department
of Education and the Computing Research
Association, U.S. colleges and universities
are graduating over 300,000
students each year
with bachelors, masters or Ph.D.s in the core
disciplines that are critical to this industry
— computer/information science, math and
engineering. At current graduating rates, the
supply of graduates will exceed the Department
of Labor’s projections for average yearly high
tech job creation over the next eight years.[11]
FACT: According to
the Department of Labor, a bachelor’s degree is
the most significant source of postsecondary
education or training for many high-tech
workers.
Among computer software engineers (both
applications and systems software) and computer
systems analysts, a bachelor’s degree is more
significant than an associate degree, master’s
degree, or on-the-job training.[12]
FACT: These
graduation statistics do not include any of the
tens of thousands of community college students
who either: 1) graduate with two-year,
Associate degrees in IT disciplines (out of the
500,000 who yearly complete their studies), or
2) are enrolling in IT-certification courses, as
well as other continuing education curricula
designed to help them transition into high tech
careers. Both of these talent pools would
certainly seem to qualify for employment in a
significant number of professional, entry-level
high tech jobs, yet they appear to be largely
ignored by the industry. To illustrate: In
Virginia — one of the nation’s high tech hotbeds
— the final 1999 report of the Governor’s
Commission on Information Technology, which was
composed of many industry leaders, took the
Commonwealth’s IT industry to task for not fully
utilizing this source of qualified IT workers.
FACT:
The supply of
U.S. graduates qualified to work in high tech
occupations has increased significantly over the
past five years. The pattern of bachelor’s
degrees conferred shows an increase in the
number of degrees conferred in technical
fields. Between 1993–94 and 2003–04, the number
of engineering degrees conferred declined by 8%
and then rose again by 8%, and the number of
mathematics degrees declined by 16% and then
rose by 11%. Meanwhile, degrees in computer and
information sciences first increased 25% from
1993–94 and 1998–99 and then grew by 95% from
1998–99 and 2003–04.[13]
FACT: Undergraduate
and graduate enrollment in computer science and
engineering programs have increased over the
past 10 years.
According to the Department of Education, in
2003–04, nearly 998,000 students were enrolled
in undergraduate and graduate programs for
engineering and computer science. In addition,
graduate enrollment increased by 62.2% between
1990 and 2002, from 34,257 to 55,559 students.[14]
FACT: The H-1B
program is making it worse, not better.
Highly qualified
U.S. students are citing uncertainty in the
future of domestic science and engineering
resulting from an increasing H-1B workforce and
increased outsourcing as a motivating factor in
causing them to pursue other career
opportunities.[15]
FACT:
These statistics indicate that the current
supply of college graduates is sufficient to
satisfy future high tech industry needs.
Supply—Incumbent Workers
FACT:
This industry has an abysmal record of hiring
minority workers. Presently, a paltry 5.3%
of this industry consists of Hispanic Americans
— less than one-half their rate of total
employment in the U.S. economy — and only 7% are
African Americans.[16]
FACT:
A major study done
by the Urban Institute shows that the industry
claims of widespread and pervasive shortages of
qualified workers are just not true:
·
Labor
market indicators do not demonstrate a shortage
of supply.
·
The
evidence suggesting a need for more H-1B workers
is anecdotal.
o
Surveys
have shown that managers’ complaints about an
inability to hire qualified workers do not rest
in a lack of qualified applicants but in
unrealistic expectations to hire workers who
have lots of specific work experience.
o
These
surveys have shown that there are plenty of
applicants who meet the educational requirements
of open positions.
·
The
overall science and engineering field workforce
is about 4.8 million while 15.7 million workers
hold science or engineering degrees.
·
From
1985 to 2000 435,000 U.S. residents graduated
with science or engineering degrees while job
growth in those fields was just 150,000
annually.[17]
FACT:
The high turnover caused by the industry’s
extensive use of short-term personnel requires
workers to constantly move from job to job.
This churning in the workforce creates reports
of job openings that are cited as proof of
shortages. But most of these reported job
opportunities remain open for only short periods
of time before they are filled.
H-1B—In Need of Repair & Reform
FACT:
In 2006, the GAO
issued yet another report entitled “H-1B Visa
Program: Labor Could Improve Its Oversight and
Increase Information Sharing with Homeland
Security.” This report focused on the need for
quality assurance controls within the program:
-
“Labor’s oversight of the H-1B program is
limited, even within the scope of its
existing authority. Labor’s review of
employers’ H-1B applications is limited by
law to identifying omissions and obvious
inaccuracies, but we found that it does not
consistently identify all obvious
inaccuracies […] For example, although the
overall percentage was small, we found 3,229
applications that were certified even though
the wage rate on the application was lower
that the prevailing wage for that occupation
in the specific location.”[18]
-
“Additionally, Labor does not identify other
errors that may be obvious… We found 993
certified applications with invalid employer
identification number prefixes. In other
programs, Labor matches the application’s
employer application number with valid
employer identification numbers. However,
they do not formally do this match with H-1B
applications because it is an attestation
process, not a verification process.”[19]
FACT: H-1B workers
receive less pay.
On average H-1B
applications for computer workers were for
$13,000 less in salary than Americans in the
same occupation and state. This is despite the
law stating that H-1B recipients be paid the
‘prevailing wage.’
FACT: The H-1B program is out of control
and unmanageable. U.S. professional and
technical workers have made great personal
sacrifices to gain the education and training
necessary to compete for the knowledge jobs in
the new American economy. They deserve better
than to be victimized by guest worker programs
like H-1B. Congress can make a long, overdue
start in cleaning up the guest worker visa mess
by implementing badly-needed reforms. Until
then, there should be no increase in the H-1B
annual visa limits.[20]
Timeline of a cyclical ‘crisis’
[21],[22]
1980’s: National
Science Foundation (NSF) predicts “looming
shortfalls” of scientists and engineers through
a series of “studies.”
1990: The H-1B
program is created when President Bush signs the
“Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1990.”[23]
1992: NSF “studies”
discredited through Congressional investigation
and no shortfalls materialize. Congress
criticizes NSF for its carelessness and warns
that an important lesson should have been
learned.
1996: The “American
Business for Legal Immigration” lobby is
established and funded by high tech companies.
(Now known as Complete America)[24]
1997: The
Information Technology Association of America (ITAA)
produces a series of reports claiming mass
shortages of IT workers. These reports did not
rely on market indicators, but rather used
monitoring of job openings.[25]
1998: The General
Accounting Office (GAO) issues criticism of the
ITAA reports citing the weak methodology and
lack of empirical data.[26]
[1]
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of
Labor Statistics, “Occupational
Employment”, Monthly Labor Review,
November 2005.
[2]
Salzman, Harold. “Globalization of R&D
and Innovation: Implications for U.S.
STEM Workforce and Policy”, Statement
submitted to the Subcommittee on
Technology and Innovation. November 6,
2007.
[3]
U.S. Government Accountability Office,
Report to Congressional Requesters,
“H-1B Visa Program: Labor Could Improve
Its Oversight and Increase Information
Sharing with Homeland Security.” June
2006.
[5]
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of
Labor Statistics, “Occupational
Employment”, Monthly Labor Review,
November 2005.
[6]
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of
Labor Statistics, Current Population
Survey, 2006.
[9]
U.S. News and World Report, August 30,
1999.
[10]
National Research Council, Building a
Workforce for the Information Economy,
2001.
[11]
U.S. Department of Education. Digest of
Education Statistics 2005.
[12]
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of
Labor Statistics, Current Population
Survey, 2006.
[13]
U.S. Department of Education. Digest of
Education Statistics 2005.
[15]
Salzman, Harold. “Globalization of R&D
and Innovation: Implications for U.S.
STEM Workforce and Policy”, Statement
submitted to the Subcommittee on
Technology and Innovation. November 6,
2007.
[16]
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of
Labor Statistics, Current Population
Survey, 2006.
[17]
Salzman, Harold. “Globalization of R&D
and Innovation: Implications for U.S.
STEM Workforce and Policy”, Statement
submitted to the Subcommittee on
Technology and Innovation. November 6,
2007.
[18]
U.S. Government Accountability Office,
Report to Congressional Requesters,
“H-1B Visa Program: Labor Could Improve
Its Oversight and Increase Information
Sharing with Homeland Security.” June
2006.
[20]
Miano, John. “The Bottom of the Pay
Scale: Wages for H-1B Computer
Programmers.” Center for Immigration
Studies. December 2005.
[21]
Teitelbaum, Michael. “Do We Need More
Scientists?” 2003.
[22]
Testimony of Michael Teitelbaum, Vice
President, Sloan Foundation, before
Subcommittee on Technology and
Innovation, United State Congress.
November 6, 2007.
[23]
Briggs, Vernon, “American Unionism and
U.S. Immigration Policy,” August 2001.
[28]
Frauenheim, Ed, “The Scourge of Silicon
Valley,” Salon.com, October 19, 2000.
[32]
Salzman, Harold. “Globalization of R&D
and Innovation: Implications for U.S.
STEM Workforce and Policy”, Statement
submitted to the Subcommittee on
Technology and Innovation. November 6,
2007.
[33]
Testimony of Michael Teitelbaum, Vice
President, Sloan Foundation, before
Subcommittee on Technology and
Innovation, United State Congress.
November 6, 2007.
[34]
Lowell, Lindsay and Harold Salzman.
“Assessing the Evidence on Science and
Engineering Education, Quality and
Workforce Demand”, Urban Institute.
October 29, 2007.
For further information on professional
workers, check out DPE’s Web site:
www.dpeaflcio.org.
The Department
for Professional Employees, AFL-CIO (DPE)
comprises 23 AFL-CIO unions representing
over four million people working in
professional, technical and
administrative support occupations. DPE-affiliated
unions represent: teachers, college
professors and school administrators;
library workers; nurses, doctors and
other health care professionals;
engineers, scientists and IT workers;
journalists and writers, broadcast
technicians and communications
specialists; performing and visual
artists; professional athletes;
professional firefighters;
psychologists, social workers and many
others. DPE was chartered by the
AFL-CIO in 1977 in recognition of the
rapidly-growing professional and
technical occupations.
Source: DPE
Research Department
1025 Vermont Avenue,
Suite 1030
Washington, DC 20005
Contact: Pamela
Wilson
(202) 637-6684
pwilson@dpeaflcio.org
February 2008
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